The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions extend far beyond the US economy, serving as the benchmark for global finance. This article analyzes how the Fed utilizes tools like rate hikes and balance sheet reduction to trigger chain reactions in emerging market, commodity, and safe-haven currencies, offering corresponding strategies.
Read More »Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory is one of the core models for forecasting long-term exchange rates. By comparing the cost of a "basket" of goods across different countries, PPP can indicate whether a currency is overvalued or undervalued, providing essential long-term guidance for international investors.
Read More »Every geopolitical crisis triggers a repricing of risk, causing funds to flow rapidly into "safe havens." This article examines the roles of the USD, JPY, and CHF during crises and how emerging market currencies often become casualties of risk aversion.
Read More »Strong export surpluses and a stable balance of payments are the cornerstones of a currency's long-term resilience. We analyze the current and capital accounts within trade data, revealing the long-term structural impact of trade wars and tariffs on exchange rates.
Read More »As major energy exporters, oil prices directly determine the exchange rates of "petrocurrencies" like the Russian Ruble (RUB), Canadian Dollar (CAD), and Norwegian Krone (NOK). This piece analyzes the impact of OPEC+ production decisions and global energy demand on these currencies.
Read More »Technical analysis is an indispensable tool for short-term forex traders. This article explains how to identify critical support and resistance levels on currency charts and how to use indicators like moving averages and RSI to aid decision-making and spot short-term trends and reversal signals.
Read More »The Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) are classic commodity currencies. AUD is influenced by iron ore and coal prices, while NZD is linked to dairy prices. This analysis explores how global economic cycles, Chinese demand, and risk sentiment collectively affect these two South Pacific currencies.
Read More »The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) long maintained negative interest rates, which suppressed the Euro and Yen. As global inflation resurges, what long-term reshaping effect has the end of the negative rate era had on the value of these two major currencies?
Read More »Algorithmic trading accounts for an increasing share of the forex market, executing trades in milliseconds and dominating short-term volatility during major economic data releases. Understanding how algorithms operate can help human traders navigate risks like "flash crashes."
Read More »For average tourists and students, when and where is the best place to exchange foreign currency to save costs? This article compares the rate differences between bank transfers, credit cards, ATM withdrawals, and third-party payments, offering practical tips for small-scale "arbitrage" during rate fluctuations.
Read More »